Union Berlin will entertain Ajax at the Stadion An der Alten Forsterei in the second leg of the UEFA Europa League knockout playoffs on Thursday (February 23). The two teams drew goalless in the first leg at the Amsterdam Arena last week. Berlin then played out another goalless draw in the Bundesliga against Schalke at the weekend.
Berlin failed to make the most of Bayern Munich’s slip and are now tied for 43 points with the Bavarian giants and Borussia Dortmund atop the standings. Ajax, meanwhile, continued their fine form in Eredivisie at the weekend, beating Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 at home. Dusan Tadic bagged a brace to bring up 100 goals for the Amsterdam-based giants.
Match Details:
- Match: Union Berlin vs Ajax
- Date: 23 February 2023
- Time: 1:30 am
- Venue: Alte Forsterei
Union Berlin vs Ajax Prediction
Union have enjoyed a solid run in 2023. At home, they have seen over 2.5 goals in five of their last six games. They almost bagged the winner in the first leg, which was ruled out by VAR.
Ajax, meanwhile, have seen an uptick in form in recent games but failed to score for the first time in a month in the first leg. They have scored in every away game this term, and the trend should continue.
It could be another closely contested affair just like the first leg, and the tie could be decided on penalties. Union have never qualified for the knockouts of a UEFA competition, which could be their undoing. Ajax could eke out a win on penalties.
Prediction: Union Berlin 1-1 Ajax
Union Berlin vs Ajax Head-To-Head
- The two teams met for the first time in a goalless first-leg clash last week.
- The hosts are unbeaten in 2023, dropping points just twice in eight outings.
- Ajax are unbeaten since November, winning five of their last six games.
- The hosts have kept clean sheets in their last five Europa League games and scored just six times.
- Ajax have kept clean sheets in four of their last five Europa League games.
- Union have lost just once at home this season, while the visitors are unbeaten on their travels since October.
- Ajax have scored 13 goals in their last five games and conceded just twice.
Union Berlin vs Ajax Live Stream Time
This match will start from 1:30 am
Union Berlin vs Ajax Date
This match will take place on 23 February 2023
Union Berlin vs Ajax Team News
Union Berlin will be able to recall Christopher Trimmel and Janik Haberer after they sat out the first leg through suspension.
While Trimmel may have to make do with a spot on the substitutes’ bench due to the form of Josip Juranovic, Haberer may get the nod ahead of Morten Thorsby.
With Union Berlin having drawn a blank in the last two matches, Jordan Siebatcheu is in contention for a recall, but Diogo Leite will need to be assessed due to illness.
Although Heitinga is likely to line up with a similar Ajax XI to the one which started last week, Davy Klaassen is an option in central midfield.
Brian Brobbey will also come into the thinking of Heitinga, but he is more likely to remain among the replacements.
Union Berlin vs Ajax Lineups
Union Berlin:
Ronnow; Doekhi, Knoche, Leite; Juranovic, Laidouni, Khedira, Haberer, Roussillon; Behrens, Becker
Ajax:
Rulli; Rensch, Timber, Bassey, Wijndal; Alvarez, Taylor; Berghuis, Kudus, Bergwijn; Tadic
Union Berlin vs Ajax Odds
We say: Union Berlin 2-1 Ajax
With Ajax scoring goals for fun on the domestic front, they will believe that it can be transferred over to continental action. However, Union Berlin are stronger than any team in the Eredivisie, and we feel that will show as they edge their way through to the last 16.
Union Berlin vs Ajax Stats
- Union Berlin 23.54%
- Ajax 54.36%
- Draw 22.09%
Union Berlin vs Ajax Tips
Tip 1: Result – Draw (Ajax to win on penalties)
Tip 2: Goals – Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Under 2.5
Tip 3: At least a goal to be scored in the first half – Yes
Tip 4: Dusan Tadic to score or assist any time – Yes
Union Berlin vs Ajax Betting Trends
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 54.36%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 23.54% and a draw has a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Union Berlin win is 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.11%).
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